VHP leader Pravin Togadia shamelessly called for a mass drive to continue “Ghar Wapsi” to save the Hinduism in India and by his own admission,

“Within last ten years, we did Ghar Wapsi of more than 5 lakh Christians and 2.5 lakh Muslims. Our rate of Ghar Wapsi used to be around 15,000 each year. But last year, we have crossed the mark of 40,000, which is excluding the figures of RSS “. 

The argument given by such supporters of the ghar wapsi (homecoming to Hinduism) campaign is that unless corrective measures are taken up urgently, there is a danger to the existing Hindus of the country by erosion. So what is the truth ? Is there a real conversion problem as they claim or is it fear-mongering ? As an example let us examine the growth of  two minority communities of India, namely the Sikh and Christian communities  based on the data available over time.

Normal growth of any community is primarily dependent on mean per capita consumption and the fertility rate . In the early 1990s, mean per capita   of Christians was Rs 404 per month and the fertility rate was 3.8 children per woman. The corresponding numbers for Sikhs: Rs 473 and 3.9. Almost identical, right ? If so, then the population growth rate of Christians should be virtually identical to that of Sikhs. But strangely that is manifestly not so. Between 1991 and 2011, the Sikh population grew at an average rate of 1.2% per annum, while the population growth rate of Christians was a relatively higher 1.9% per annum inspite of the fertility rate of the two being identical !!!. Such an analysis allows one to put a figure to the average per year conversions that modern Christian missionaries have been able to achieve. It is the gap between what the Christian population should have been in 2011 versus (based on fertility rate) and the reality of 27.8 million. If Christians had the same population growth rate as Sikhs (of 1.2% a year rather than the actual growth rate of 1.9 % a year), the total number of Christians in India would have been 24.1 million. The “excess” Christian population of 3.7 million in 2011 has therefore been due to conversions and not due to change in fertility rate . This excess translates into an average conversion rate of 1.7 lakh per year between 1991 and 2011.

Based on the ministry of home affairs annual report 2011-12, in all, of the 958 NGOs (that come under the lokpals ambit), at least 515 were Christian missionary organisations. A total of Rs 11,000 crore was received by all NGOs of which the Christian missionary organisations collectively received Rs 2,003.75 crore as foreign contributions. The money was mostly used for conversions, and a lower bound estimate of conversion expenditures can be obtained – approximately Rs 1.1 lakh per person or Rs 5.5 lakh for a family of five.

One finds hardly any ideological difference between what the RSS and the Christian NGO missionaries are doing in terms of coercive-seductive conversions, either we need to put an immediate stop to both or else ignore both and let both do their jobs uninterrupted ….there can´t be two rules for two organisations …..isn´t it ?.

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